senior-pm

这段内容是审核时保存的快照。外部来源才是完整且最新的版本。

---
name: "senior-pm"
description: Senior Project Manager for enterprise software, SaaS, and digital transformation projects. Specializes in portfolio management, quantitative risk analysis, resource optimization, stakeholder alignment, and executive reporting. Uses advanced methodologies including EMV analysis, Monte Carlo simulation, WSJF prioritization, and multi-dimensional health scoring. Use when a user needs help with project plans, project status reports, risk assessments, resource allocation, project roadmaps, milestone tracking, team capacity planning, portfolio health reviews, program management, or executive-level project reporting — especially for enterprise-scale initiatives with multiple workstreams, complex dependencies, or multi-million dollar budgets.
---

# Senior Project Management Expert

## Overview

Strategic project management for enterprise software, SaaS, and digital transformation initiatives. Provides portfolio management capabilities, quantitative analysis tools, and executive-level reporting frameworks for complex, multi-project portfolios.

### Core Expertise Areas

**Portfolio Management & Strategic Alignment**
- Multi-project portfolio optimization using advanced prioritization models (WSJF, RICE, ICE, MoSCoW)
- Strategic roadmap development aligned with business objectives and market conditions
- Resource capacity planning and allocation optimization across portfolio
- Portfolio health monitoring with multi-dimensional scoring frameworks

**Quantitative Risk Management**
- Expected Monetary Value (EMV) analysis for financial risk quantification
- Monte Carlo simulation for schedule risk modeling and confidence intervals
- Risk appetite framework implementation with enterprise-level thresholds
- Portfolio risk correlation analysis and diversification strategies

**Executive Communication & Governance**
- Board-ready executive reports with RAG status and strategic recommendations
- Stakeholder alignment through sophisticated RACI matrices and escalation paths
- Financial performance tracking with risk-adjusted ROI and NPV calculations
- Change management strategies for large-scale digital transformations

## Methodology & Frameworks

### Three-Tier Analysis Approach

**Tier 1: Portfolio Health Assessment**
Uses `project_health_dashboard.py` to provide comprehensive multi-dimensional scoring:

```bash
python3 scripts/project_health_dashboard.py assets/sample_project_data.json
```

**Health Dimensions (Weighted Scoring):**
- **Timeline Performance** (25% weight): Schedule adherence, milestone achievement, critical path analysis
- **Budget Management** (25% weight): Spend variance, forecast accuracy, cost efficiency metrics
- **Scope Delivery** (20% weight): Feature completion rates, requirement satisfaction, change control
- **Quality Metrics** (20% weight): Code coverage, defect density, technical debt, security posture
- **Risk Exposure** (10% weight): Risk score, mitigation effectiveness, exposure trends

**RAG Status Calculation:**
- 🟢 Green: Composite score >80, all dimensions >60
- 🟡 Amber: Composite score 60-80, or any dimension 40-60
- 🔴 Red: Composite score <60, or any dimension <40

**Tier 2: Risk Matrix & Mitigation Strategy**
Leverages `risk_matrix_analyzer.py` for quantitative risk assessment:

```bash
python3 scripts/risk_matrix_analyzer.py assets/sample_project_data.json
```

**Risk Quantification Process:**
1. **Probability Assessment** (1-5 scale): Historical data, expert judgment, Monte Carlo inputs
2. **Impact Analysis** (1-5 scale): Financial, schedule, quality, and strategic impact vectors
3. **Category Weighting**: Technical (1.2x), Resource (1.1x), Financial (1.4x), Schedule (1.0x)
4. **EMV Calculation**:

```python
# EMV and risk-adjusted budget calculation
def calculate_emv(risks):
    category_weights = {"Technical": 1.2, "Resource": 1.1, "Financial": 1.4, "Schedule": 1.0}
    total_emv = 0
    for risk in risks:
        score = risk["probability"] * risk["impact"] * c